Post: “They’ll run out of energy soon.” What are they preparing for at the front?

The expert compared the situation in the Ukrainian Armed Forces to a melting iceberg

MOSCOW, November 29 – RIA Novosti, Andrey Kots. Due to bad weather conditions, fields and dirt roads became impassable for large armored maneuvers. The Armed Forces of Ukraine no longer make serious attempts to break through the front and limit themselves to local attacks. The Russian army, on the contrary, seized the initiative in many sectors. About the situation in the area of ​​\u200b\u200bthe Northern Military District – in the material of RIA Novosti.

common elements

The snowstorm that covered Ukraine on Monday night made adjustments to the course of hostilities. Roads were covered with snow, 400 settlements in the Kiev-controlled region of Donbass were left without electricity, and railway traffic was stopped in some areas. Bad weather conditions make it difficult to deliver ammunition and reinforcements, and low clouds and heavy rains make the use of drones difficult. The picture is similar on the Russian side.

Military personnel of electronic warfare units - RIA Novosti, 1920, 27.11.2023
Military personnel of electronic warfare units

Crimea was especially affected by the disaster, in which half a million people lost electricity. Fortunately, the Ukrainian Armed Forces did not take advantage of this situation and did not try to send saboteurs to Crimea. However, the unprecedented storm was not conducive to such raids.

In the direction of Kherson, the Ukrainian bridgehead at Krynki is completely cut off from the right bank, and the soldiers stationed there cannot request artillery support.

MLRS BM-21 “Grad” of the Guards Motorized Rifle Regiment of the Central Military District opened fire on positions of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the area of ​​\u200b\u200bthe Northern Military District

Russian troops carried out many effective attacks and retook some positions. However, the bridgehead still stands.

In the east, in the Zaporozhye direction, the Armed Forces of Ukraine are still trying to break through the defenses at Verbovoy and Rabotin, but fall into counterattacks and retreat with losses. Kiev failed to reach Tokmak, then Berdyansk and Melitopol to cut the land bridge to Crimea.

Positional wars

There are no significant changes in the direction of Yuzhnodonetsk. At the end of the summer, the Armed Forces of Ukraine nevertheless cut through the Vremevsky salient on the border of the Zaporozhye region and the DPR, occupying several villages that were completely destroyed. We tried to align the front along Uledar, but we got stuck in the Novodonetskoye-Novomayorskoye-Kremenchik triangle. Russian troops attacked northwest of Staromayorsky. As a result, wars took on a positional character.

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There is an advance in the Donetsk direction, accompanied by constant artillery and air strikes. Thus, according to the Ministry of Defense, a valuable Ukrainian electronic warfare station “Bukovel-AD” was destroyed in the Krasnohorivka area. Now things are simpler for Russian drone operators.

Clashes continue on the Kleshcheevka-Kurdyumovka-Andreevka line near Artemovsk. Kiev still controls part of the heights around these settlements, making it possible to keep the nearest routes under fire control. Russian troops have gained ground in Kleshcheevka, but the situation there has remained virtually unchanged for weeks.

Artillery of the Russian Armed Forces fires from the 152 mm howitzer “Msta-B” in the Northern Military District area

Oncoming battles continue in the Serebryansky forest district in the Lugansk direction. In the Kupyansk sector, Russian troops advanced slightly in the Sinkovka area. They use active defense tactics; They catch you in counter attacks. And they catch supporter after supporter.

winter perspectives

In general, Ukraine lost the initiative – this is also recognized in Kiev. The Ukrainian Armed Forces are on the defensive, waiting for the winter offensive of Russian troops. Ukrainian intelligence submitted a report claiming that the attack would include hundreds of missile attacks on energy infrastructure facilities.

That is why Kiev is hastily trying to create analogues of the “Surovikin line”. But Ukrainians are not sure they will help. ABC News quotes Lieutenant General Sergei Naev, who believes the conflict could extend beyond the east and south of the country. He points out that Russia continues to increase its weapons production and develop military technologies.

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“The Ukrainian army is like a floating and melting iceberg,” says political scientist Alexey Podberezkin. “It has now reached a critical point when the superiority of the Russian Armed Forces is completely obvious. Reserves that can be used have emerged. The Ukrainian general understands very well that the ratio will change by the end of the year and therefore draws well-founded conclusions.”

The West is also drawing conclusions. European and American media are increasingly writing about the shortcomings of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, the problems facing the army at the front and rear. They point out that the education level of those taking action is low; At best they are trained for two weeks. Age – 40-50 years. Acute shortage of junior command personnel.

Use of modernized Lancet stray ammunition against military equipment of the Armed Forces of Ukraine

All this, combined with the falling morale after the failed attack, puts Kiev in a very difficult situation. Especially if you remember that the Russian potential is many times greater than the Ukrainian potential.

Source: Ria

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